Monday, February 6, 2017
Durban: the Super Bowl; waiting
The Super Bowl started at 1:30 a.m. local time. I woke once during the night, turned on my phone and saw Atlanta far ahead late in the third quarter, so it was with considerable surprise that I learned this morning that the Patriots won in over time.
WIRED has two interesting articles about this, one by an expert at analytics explaining how with a 99% probability of winning with two minutes to go in the third quarter, the Falcons lost; the other how the Madden video game has now correctly predicted ten of the last fourteen Super Bowls, including that the Patriots would win this one with a fourth quarter comeback.
Slow, steady overnight rain ended this morning, after revealing a leak around my rebedded forward hatch. I think it is one of two bolts that I will rebed again with butyl tape.
Now in early afternoon the wind is still, Sounds of traffic ashore are muted. GANNET quietly bobs an inch or two.
I have downloaded a new GRIB with LuckGrib, checked Durban, East London, Port Elizabeth, and Cape Agulhas in Windfinder Pro, run Windytv, Meteo Weather and VentuSky. They all tell the same disappointing story: no period of 48 hours without another low with 20+ knot headwinds for the foreseeable future.
It blew 25-30 knots from the southwest here yesterday afternoon. I don’t want to start off that way, but maybe I will have to.
For now, I continue to wait for something better.